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The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. The best way for Democrats to survive 2024s lopsided Senate map is to get as many of their battle-tested incumbents as possible to run again, and on that front, there is a bright side: In-cycle members in Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan all plan to seek another term in 2024. An Emboldened Biden Weighs Whether to Run for President Again in 2024 Republicans picked up four seats and Democrats picked up two seats. State prosecutor Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds being seen as another potential candidate for the Republican nomination. It Turns Out 2024 Will Be Even More Difficult for Senate Democrats Trump carried the state in 2020 by nearly 40 points, while Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R) pulled off an even bigger, 43-point win. There are no incumbents in this race. Of course, Arizona Republicans have their own set of challenges to deal with. 2022 Republican nominee for governor, Tudor Dixon, 2022 candidate for Governor, Kevin Rinke, former Michigan Attorney General and Republican nominee for Governor in 2018, Bill Schuette, and former U.S. Secretary of Education, Betsy DeVos, are all seen as a potential candidate. They won't face voters until 2024, and by then, who knows? Ohio derailment tests Sen. Brown's push to buck Dem defeats Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. In 2018the last time these 33 seats were up for electionsix seats changed party hands. I am all in. Its not an ideal position for Democrats to be in as they look to stave off Republicans in a state that has only emerged as a battleground over the past few election cycles. On February 22, 2023, Tester announced he is running for a fourth term. [86][87][88], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. Email us. Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. Come 2024, 33 seats will be up for re-election, with 23 of them . [27], Former Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. But unlike 2018, when a blue wave helped propel Democrats into the House majority, the party is facing a tougher political landscape in 2024. Democrats are already lining up for the open seat . Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? No I am all in. Casey has announced his intention to run for a fourth term. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. REPORT: Joe Manchin Sees the Writing on the Wall Gretchen Whitmer, have already ruled out Senate bids. [106], Former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz is also seen as a potential primary challenger, and Gabriel Loco-Blanco has filed paperwork to run.[104]. Should he retire, U.S. representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone, and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. United States Senate Election, 2026 (Nkechinyer) | Future | Fandom Taylor Popielarz on Twitter: "Three keys states in the 2024 cycle that After running four campaigns in two years, Sen. Raphael Warnock won't be on the ballot again until 2028 but at least 23 of his Democratic colleagues are up for . The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. His seat is one of the most vulnerable Democratic seats, as he is one of three Senators to hold a seat in a state that Donald Trump, a Republican, won in both of his elections for President of the United States. = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. [36], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. Perhaps the one major exception . Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. "[62] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again. Senators serve six-year terms, with roughly one-third of the Senate up for election every two years. Both Manchin and Tester are also up for reelection next year in states where the GOP dominates. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. Nevertheless, Republicans are hoping to field a stronger challenger next time around, intent on avoiding a repeat of 2022. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). Its a personal decision. Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? These progressives are trying Senate Democrats could join Republicans in voting to reject DC's new Senate Democrats are gearing up for what's expected to be a challenging reelection environment in 2024 even as they await the results of a Senate runoff in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock . Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. But West Virginias conservative political makeup means that even a moderate like Manchin isnt safe. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. With Trump running, nearly all Republican senators say no to a [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, 2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii, List of United States senators from Hawaii, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana, List of United States senators from Indiana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2024 United States Senate election in Maine, List of United States senators from Maine, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland, List of United States senators from Maryland, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts, List of United States senators from Massachusetts, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Massachusetts, 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan, List of United States senators from Michigan, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota, List of United States senators from Minnesota, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi, List of United States senators from Mississippi, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri, List of United States senators from Missouri, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2024 United States Senate election in Montana, List of United States senators from Montana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, List of United States senators from Nebraska, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada, List of United States senators from Nevada, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada, 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey, List of United States senators from New Jersey, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey. After all, shes won twice before by solid margins. If some things are not yet settled, and then who wins or loses in Nevada. Against that backdrop, at least eight members of Chuck Schumers caucus are agonizing over whether to run again, and a couple hail from states that may be lost to the GOP if the incumbent bows out. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) took aim at former Representative Liz Cheney's (R-WY) possible 2024 bid in a new fundraising email obtained by the Washington Examiner. Seven Senate races to watch in 2022 | The Hill Nearly all Republican senators bow out of 2024 race, while governors He's up for re-election in 2024. The GOP Senators will be holding a press conference regarding the appealing a Biden Administration regulation that puts the retirement savings of Americans in jeopardy. Not only will they be defending more than twice as many Senate seats as Republicans, but theyll likely be on the ballot with President Biden, whose approval rating remains relatively low. [113] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. And the people of Delaware have been kind enough to elect me statewide 14 times and when I travel around the state, the support and encouragement I receive is frankly unparalleled with anything Ive heard in all the years Ive been doing this. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. See also Class II Senators (Up for Re-election in 2020) See also Class III Senators (Up for Re-election in 2022) Tammy Baldwin > Wisconsin. Nevada is a perennial battleground, and Republicans are sure to contest the state aggressively once again, especially given how close last years race was. On the other hand, Republicans havent yet settled on a candidate either. Republicans are playing defense in November: the party is in control of the Senate and White House, and will have to defend 23 seats compared to the 12 Senate Democrats who are up for reelection. Three senators are up for reelection in deep red states.